Over the past few weeks I have been working through a long improvement backlog for HivePredict, the parimutuel prediction market platform built on Hive. Every bet, market and resolution lives on-chain as custom_json and transfer operations, and the site is just a fast window onto that data. This post covers everything that has shipped.
If you have not tried it yet: you predict outcomes on real-world events (crypto prices, sport, Hive itself), stakes pool together, and winners split the losing pool proportionally. Log in with Keychain or HiveSigner, no signup, no email.
Streaks and badges
Profiles now show your current and best win streak, plus six milestone badges: first win, ten wins, hot streak (five in a row), sharp (80 per cent accuracy over 20+ resolved predictions), first market created and market maker (ten markets created). Everything is computed from your on-chain prediction history, nothing new is stored about you.
There is also a public API endpoint for it, so anyone can build on top: GET /api/users/:username/achievements.
A public transparency page
Money platforms should show their books. The new transparency page shows all-time and monthly figures per token: total prediction volume, payouts sent to users, and platform revenue. It also spells out the fee model in plain words (3% of the losing pool, a flat market creation fee, voided markets refunded in full) and lists the most recent payout transfers with links to the transactions on-chain, so you can verify every number yourself.
Community-checked resolutions
Manual markets already let anyone submit resolution proof and vote on it. Those votes now feed a consensus signal. When the evidence is contested, the market page shows a public banner with the support for each outcome, the market is flagged as disputed and jumps to the top of the resolution queue, and resolving against the community consensus requires an explicit extra confirmation. It is a first step towards resolutions that lean on the community rather than a single admin, with more to come.
Install it as an app
HivePredict is now a proper progressive web app. Your browser will offer to install it (or use the Install app button in the footer), pages you have visited keep working offline, and everything loads faster on repeat visits. Live data still always comes from the chain-backed API, nothing stale is ever shown as current.
Always something to bet on
Fresh markets are created automatically every week: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Hive and gold price threshold markets that open near even odds, plus moneyline markets for upcoming NRL, AFL, EPL, NBA and NFL fixtures. The platform account seeds each new market with a small stake on both sides so the first real bettor sees a live two-sided pool instead of an empty one. House bets are excluded from every leaderboard.
For regulars
A quick list of everything else that landed recently:
- Leaderboards at /leaderboard: accuracy, profit, volume and top creators over 7 days, 30 days and all time.
- My bets dashboard: all your open positions with implied payouts, closing countdowns and cash-out links in one place.
- Notifications: a bell in the nav for wins, refunds, resolutions and markets closing soon, plus Hive-native notifications. When you win, the platform account mentions you in an on-chain comment.
- Watchlists and follows: watch markets, follow creators, and filter the activity feed to just the things you care about.
- Search across all markets, and category landing pages for every market category.
- Share and embed: share a market to X, copy a link, or grab an iframe snippet to embed a live market card on any website.
- Weekly review: the @hivepredict account posts an automatic week in review every Monday with resolved markets, payouts and top predictors.
- Public API docs at /docs/api/overview for anyone who wants to build against the read-only API.
- Long markets fixed: markets with dozens of outcomes (like the World Cup winner market with 47 teams) no longer produce an endless page. Outcome lists collapse to the top eight with a toggle.
What is next
Spanish language support is high on the list given the size of the Spanish-speaking Hive community, along with a referral program, a suggest-a-market flow, and pushing the community resolution system further.
Try it at hivepredict.app. If something is broken, confusing or missing, tell me in the comments. The best feature requests so far have come from people using it.
