The Exchange is back. Bruno broke the market.
Three weeks of international football. Three weeks of staring at a frozen price board. Then GW6 landed and the Football Exchange repriced in one go.
24 traders. 43 trades in the break. The market closed the week down 539 MEDALS in squad value. Six squads went up. Seventeen went down. One didn't move an inch.
Here's who read it right, and who got caught holding the bag.
The crash: Bruno Fernandes, 72 → 28
One point. Ninety minutes. -44 MEDALS, -61% in a single reprice.
That's the biggest fall the Exchange has seen. Five traders held him through the deadline:
- @deniskj
- @racibo
- @kraken99
- @niallon11
- @twicejoy-sports
Each of them ate the full 44. For @racibo that's one player wiping out 13% of a squad in one weekend.
Bruno wasn't alone. The fallers board:
| Player | Pos | Was | Now | Move | GW6 pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.Fernandes (MUN) | MID | 72 | 28 | -44 | 1 |
| Mendy (HUL) | DEF | 54 | 30 | -24 | 3 |
| Hall (NEW) | DEF | 62 | 40 | -22 | 0 |
| Gibbs-White (NFO) | MID | 64 | 42 | -22 | 2 |
| Saka (ARS) | MID | 58 | 40 | -18 | 2 |
| Tarkowski (EVE) | DEF | 84 | 66 | -18 | 3 |
| Schade (BRE) | MID | 80 | 62 | -18 | 1 |
| Haaland (MCI) | FWD | 90 | 76 | -14 | 6 |
| Groß (BHA) | MID | 100 | 86 | -14 | 6 |
The Haaland problem
Twelve of 24 traders own Haaland. Half the market. He scored 6 points and still dropped 14 MEDALS.
That's the rolling window. Price is his last four appearances. A 6 isn't bad. It's just smaller than the haul it pushed out. Everyone who owns him took the hit together, which is why the whole board went red.
Same story at the back. Gabriel (-12) sits in eight squads. Saka (-18) in four. If you held the popular names, you lost money this week. The crowd was the trade to fade.
The risers
The money was in players nobody owned.
| Player | Pos | Was | Now | Move | GW6 pts | Holders |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De Cuyper (BHA) | DEF | 48 | 78 | +30 | 15 | 0 |
| Dewsbury-Hall (EVE) | MID | 28 | 49 | +21 | 13 | 1 |
| Henderson (CHE) | MID | 28 | 49 | +21 | 18 | 0 |
| Dasilva (COV) | DEF | 25 | 44 | +19 | 5 | 0 |
| Cherif (COV) | FWD | 26 | 44 | +18 | 12 | 0 |
| McGinn (AVL) | MID | 40 | 58 | +18 | 10 | 2 |
| Donnarumma (MCI) | GKP | 42 | 60 | +18 | 9 | 4 |
| Verbruggen (BHA) | GKP | 42 | 60 | +18 | 9 | 1 |
| Vuskovic (BHA) | DEF | 58 | 74 | +16 | 8 | 1 |
| Brobbey (SUN) | FWD | 35 | 50 | +15 | 0 | 1 |
De Cuyper's +30 went to nobody. Henderson's 18-pointer went to nobody. Brighton's back line went up across the board and almost nobody was there.
Brobbey is the odd one: 0 minutes, +15. That's the move cap. His GW5 17-pointer was bigger than one reprice allows, so half of it was held back. The rest landed this week. @tengolotodo, you got paid twice for one game.
Trade of the week: @talesfrmthecrypt
Deadline was 11:00 on Saturday. At 08:22, @talesfrmthecrypt dumped Bruno, Haaland, Gibbs-White and Calvert-Lewin, then bought Dewsbury-Hall, McGinn, Boscagli, Tavernier, Delap and Gonzalo.
The players sold fell a combined 92 MEDALS this week. The players bought:
- Dewsbury-Hall: bought at 29, sells at 49
- McGinn: bought at 42, sells at 58
- Boscagli: bought at 36, sells at 46
+67 squad value, +20.6%. Best week on the Exchange by a distance. Under three hours before the deadline. That's how you trade a market.
Pain of the week: @kraken99
On 21 September @kraken99 sold Isak, Becker and Semenyo for a tidy +69. Then on 6 October, with the market frozen, went back in:
- Haaland at 95, now 76
- Bruno at 76, now 28
- Kostoulas at 61, down 8
- Wissa at 27, now 14
- Becker at 61, three more than the price they sold him for
Down 86 on the week, -17.8%. Good exit. Bad re-entry.
@kilvnrex had a similar break. Bought Groß at 105, Haaland at 95, Gabriel and Raya on 25 September. All four fell. -56 on the week.
Week winners and losers
Squad value change from GW6 prices to GW7 prices, for the squad each trader held at the deadline:
Up
- @talesfrmthecrypt +67 (+20.6%)
- @blockchainfpl +26 (+11.3%)
- @mondoshawan +21 (+8.1%): Verbruggen +18 and Ouattara +11, signed in the break
- @danideuder +20 (+5.4%)
- @doombot75 +12 (+6.9%)
- @blanchy +6
- @tengolotodo +1
- @wildlifelover: exactly 0. Donnarumma +18 cancelled out Haaland -14 and Gabriel -12
Down
- @twicejoy-sports -98 (-20.2%): Bruno, Haaland and Saka in one squad
- @niallon11 -94: bought Saka at 61 on 4 Oct, then the crash hit
- @kraken99 -86
- @racibo -78 (-23.2%, worst by percentage)
- @deniskj -74
The table
Profit = cash + squad at sell price − what you deposited.
| # | Trader | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | @blockchainfpl | +112 |
| 2 | @talesfrmthecrypt | +83 |
| 3 | @doombot75 | +33 |
| 4 | @workingdad | +28 |
| 5 | @tengolotodo | +19 |
| 6 | @dirtyleeds | -3 |
| 7 | @shebe | -8 |
| 8 | @mondoshawan | -12 |
| 9 | @danideuder | -19 |
| 10 | @seki1 | -27 |
| … | ||
| 24 | @twicejoy-sports | -216 |
@blockchainfpl is +112 on a 200 MEDALS deposit. 56% return from the smallest bankroll near the top. Small stack, sharp hands.
And they're already at it again. Within hours of the reprice they banked Strand Larsen (+17) and Lindelöf (+13), then bought Bruno at 29.
Bottom of the market or a falling knife? GW7 will tell us.
GW7: the window is open
Prices are live now. Trading locks Saturday 17 October, 11:00 Irish time.
Bruno at 28. Haaland at 76. De Cuyper at 78 with nobody on board. The whole board just reset.
Buy low. Sell high. Prove it.
